What are the odds?

 


In the world of fantasy football, some team owners are relentless in their search for information that will give them a competitive edge over their competition.  Others just simply rely on projections from so-called experts, who try to convince everyone they have devised a computer program that accurately projects player stats by using a scientific formula so complicated that it makes the Drake equation seem elementary.  Eventually, those computer-driven computations prove no more accurate than a humanistic innate ability.  However, in a quest to find a formula for fantasy success, one should just ask the question, “What are the odds?”

Quite simply, Vegas odds could give you all of the necessary insight to make smart roster decisions on a week-to-week basis.  In this weekly article, theCFFsite considers the point spreads and totals(over/under) in order to give our readers a unique perspective into some of the week’s most interesting fantasy matchups.


 

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Week 1
 
 
 
Best Fantasy Matchups (Games with the most fantasy potential)
 
Colorado State at Colorado
 
Line:  Colorado -3 (O/U-64)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Colorado 34-31
 
Best plays:
 
Colorado State (QB-Garrett Grayson, WR-Rashard Higgins, TE-Kivon Cartwright, K-Jared Roberts)
 
Colorado (QB-Sefo LiuFau, WR-Nelson Spruce)
 
Also consider:
 
Colorado State (RB-Dee Hart, RB-Treyous Jarrells)
 
Colorado (RB-Christian Powell)
 

 

 
Troy at UAB
 
Line:  Pick (O/U-67)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  33-33
 
Best plays:
 
Troy (RB-Brandon Burks, RB-Jordan Chunn)
 
UAB (RB-Jordan Howard, WR-Jamarcus Nelson)
 
Also consider:
 
Troy (QB-Brandon Silvers, WR-Bryan Holmes, WR-Chandler Worthy)
 
UAB (K-Ty Long)
 

 

 
UTEP at New Mexico
 
Line:  New Mexico -7.5 (O/U-66)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  New Mexico 37-30
 
Best plays:
 
UTEP (RB-Aaron Jones)
 
New Mexico (QB-Cole Gautsche, RB-Jhurrell Pressley)
 
Also consider:
 
UTEP (QB-Jameill Showers)
 
New Mexico (RB-Crusoe Gongbay, WR-Carlos Wiggins)
 

 

 
SMU at Baylor
 
Line:  Baylor -32 (O/U-74.5)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Baylor 53-21
 
Best plays:
 
SMU (WR-Darius Joseph)
 
Baylor (QB-Bryce Petty, RB-Shock Linwood, WR-Antwan Goodley, WR-Levi Norwood)
 
Also consider:
 
SMU (WR-Cedric Lancaster)
 
Baylor (WR-Corey Coleman, RB-Johnny Jefferson)
 

 

 

 

 
One-Sided Matchups (Using the odds to find a dominating ‘D’)
 
Appalachian State at Michigan
 
Line:  Michigan -34 (O/U-50.5)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Michigan 42-8
 
Stay away from:
 
Appalachian State (RB-Marcus Cox-inj.)
 

 

 
Idaho at Florida
 
Line:  Florida -35 (O/U-51.5)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Florida 44-8
 
Stay away from:
 
Idaho (All Players))
 

 

 
Louisiana Tech at Oklahoma
 
Line:  Oklahoma -38 (O/U-52)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Oklahoma 45-7
 
Stay away from:
 
Louisiana Tech (RB-Kenneth Dixon)
 

 

 

 

 
Must Watch Games (The games with the biggest headlines)
 
Texas A&M at South Carolina
 
Line:  South Carolina -10.5 (O/U-57)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  South Carolina 34-23
 
Best fantasy plays:
 
Texas A&M (QB-Kenny Hill, WR-Ricky Seals-Jones, WR-Speedy Noil)
 
South Carolina (QB-Dylan Thompson, RB-Mike Davis, WR-Shaq Roland
 
Biggest Unknown:
 
Texas A&M-Will there be a RBBC in Aggie-land or will a feature back emerge behind an experienced offensive line.
 
South Carolina-How healthy is RB Mike Davis and how much of a workload will he receive, if he plays?
 
theCFFsite projects:  South Carolina 37-30
 

 

 
Clemson at Georgia
 
Line:  Georgia -7.5 (O/U-57.5)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Georgia 33-25
 
Best fantasy plays:
 
Clemson (QB-Cole Stoudt, WR-Mike Williams)
 
Georgia (QB-Hutson Mason, RB-Todd Gurley, TE-Jay Rome, K-Marshall Morgan)
 
Biggest Unknown:
 
Georgia-Do the Bulldogs have a playmaking receiver to help ease pressure in the box for Gurley?
 
Clemson-Will this be a more balanced Tigers offense or do they have a homerun hitter waiting in the wings?
 
theCFFsite projects:  Georgia 34-24
 

 

 
LSU vs Wisconsin
 
Line:  LSU -4.5 (O/U-50)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  27-23
 
Best fantasy plays:
 
LSU-(WR-Travin Dural, K-Colby Delahoussaye))
 
Wisconsin-(RB-Melvin Gordon, RB-Corey Clement)
 
Biggest Unknown:
 
LSU-Will freshman RB Leonard Fournette be the feature back or will there be a 3-man rotation that includes Terrence Magee and Kenny Hilliard?
 
Wisconsin-Will Corey Clement receive enough work to be a fantasy factor in this game?
 
theCFFsite projects:  LSU 24-17
 

 

 
Florida State vs Oklahoma State
 
Line:  Florida State -17 (O/U-63)
 
Projected score based on point spread:  Florida State 40-23
 
Best fantasy plays:
 
Florida State (QB-Jameis Winston, RB-Karlos Williams, WR-Rashad Greene, TE-Nick O’Leary, K-Robert Aguayo)
 
Oklahoma St (QB-JW Walsh, RB-Desmond Roland, RB/WR-Tyreek Hill)
 
Biggest Unknown:
 
Oklahoma State-We know that Daxx Garman will get snaps, but is Walsh the long-term answer at QB for the Pokes?
 
Florida State-Is Karlos Williams ready to assume the lead role as the No.1 running back?
 
theCFFsite projects:  Florida State 31-20


 

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