What are the odds? 
 
In the world of fantasy football, some team owners are relentless in their search for information that will give them a competitive edge over their competition.  Others just simply rely on projections from so-called experts, who try to convince everyone they have devised a computer program that accurately projects player stats by using a scientific formula so complicated that it makes the Drake equation seem elementary.  Eventually, those computer-driven computations prove no more accurate than a humanistic innate ability.  However, in a quest to find a formula for fantasy success, one should just ask the question, “What are the odds?”

Quite simply, Vegas odds could give you all of the necessary insight to make smart roster decisions on a week-to-week basis.  In this weekly article, theCFFsite considers the point spreads and totals(over/under) in order to give our readers a unique perspective into some of the week’s most interesting fantasy matchups.


 

Week 11
 
Best Fantasy Matchups (Games with the most fantasy potential)
Florida International at Old Dominion
Line:  Old Dominion -4.4 (O/U-61.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Old Dominion 33-29
Best plays:
FIU (TE-Jonnu Smith)
Old Dominion (QB-Taylor Heinicke, RB-Ray Lawry, WR-Antonio Vaughan)
Also consider:
FIU (RB-Napoleon Maxwell)
Old Dominion (WR-Zach Pascal, WR-David Washington)
 
UTEP at Western Kentucky
Line:  Western Kentucky -9 (O/U-72.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Western Kentucky 41-32
Best plays:
Western Kentucky (QB-Brandon Doughty, RB-Leon Allen, K-Garrett Schwettman)
UTEP (RB-Aaron Jones)
Also consider:
Western Kentucky (WR-Jared Dangerfield, WR-Taywan Taylor, TE-Mitchell Henry)
UTEP (QB-Jameill Showers)
 
One-Sided Matchups (Using the odds to find a dominating ‘D’)
Clemson at Wake Forest
Line:  Clemson -21.5 (O/U-42)
Projected score based on point spread:  Clemson 32-10
Stay away from:
Wake Forest (WR-EJ Scott)
 
Florida at Vanderbilt
Line:  Florida -14.5 (O/U-45.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Florida 30-16
Stay away from:
Vanderbilt (RB-Ralph Webb)
 
Tulane at Houston
Line:  Houston -18 (O/U-44.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Houston 31-13
Stay away from:
Tulane (RB-Sherman Badie-inj.)
 
Must Watch Games (The games with the biggest headlines)
Baylor at Oklahoma
Line:  Oklahoma -4.5 (O/U-73.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Oklahoma 39-35
Best fantasy plays:
Baylor (QB-Bryce Petty, RB-Shock Linwood, WR-Corey Coleman, WR-Antwan Goodley)
Oklahoma (QB-Trevor Knight, RB-Samaje Perine, WR-Sterling Shepard)
theCFFsite projects:  Oklahoma 38-31
 
Notre Dame at Arizona State
Line:  Arizona State -2.5 (O/U-59.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Arizona State 31-28
Best fantasy plays:
Notre Dame (QB-Everett Golson, RB-Tarean Folston, WR-William Fuller, TE-Ben Koyack)
Arizona State (QB-Taylor Kelly, RB-DJ Foster, WR-Jaelen Strong, K-Zane Gonzalez)
theCFFsite projects:  Notre Dame 27-24
 
Kansas State at TCU
Line:  TCU – 6 (O/U-57.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  TCU 32-26
Best fantasy plays:
Kansas State (QB-Jake Waters, WR-Tyler Lockett, WR-Curry Sexton)
TCU (QB-Trevone Boykin, RB-BJ Catalon, WR-Josh Doctson, WR-Deante’ Gray)
theCFFsite projects:  Kansas State 31-28
 
Ohio State at Michigan State
Line:  Michigan State -3.5 (O/U-58.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Michigan State 31-27
Best fantasy plays:
Ohio State (QB-JT Barrett)
Michigan State (RB-James Langford, WR-Tony Lippett, K-Michael Geiger)
theCFFsite projects:  Michigan State 31-21
 
Alabama at LSU
Line:  Alabama -6.5 (O/U-45.5)
Projected score based on point spread:  Alabama 26-20
Best fantasy plays:
Alabama (QB-Blake Sims, WR-Amari Cooper)
LSU (RB-Leonard Fournette)
theCFFsite projects:  Alabama 27-17
 
Oregon at Utah
Line:  Oregon -8 (O/U-61)
Projected score based on point spread:  Oregon 35-27
Best fantasy plays:
Oregon (QB-Marcus Mariota, RB-Royce Freeman, RB-Byron Marshall)
Utah (RB-Devontae Booker)
theCFFsite projects:  Oregon 28-27
 
theCFFsite in Must Watch games:
2014 Season:  Straight Up (18-9); ATS (14-13)
 
 
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