What are the odds?
In the world of fantasy football, some team owners are relentless in their search for information that will give them a competitive edge over their competition.  Others just simply rely on projections from so-called experts, who try to convince everyone they have devised a computer program that accurately projects player stats by using a scientific formula so complicated that it makes the Drake equation seem elementary.  Eventually, those computer-driven computations prove no more accurate than a humanistic innate ability.  However, in a quest to find a formula for fantasy success, one should just ask the question, “What are the odds?”
Quite simply, Vegas odds could give you all of the necessary insight to make smart roster decisions on a week-to-week basis.  In this weekly article, theCFFsite considers the point spreads and totals(over/under) in order to give our readers a unique perspective into some of the week’s most interesting fantasy matchups.

Week 4


Best Fantasy Matchups (Games with the most fantasy potential)

Indiana at Missouri

Line:  Missouri -13.5 (O/U-72)

Projected score based on point spread:  Missouri 43-29

Best plays:

Indiana (QB-Nate Sudfeld, RB-Tevin Coleman, WR-Shane Wynn)

Missouri (QB-Maty Mauk, RB-Russell Hansbrough, WR-Bud Sasser)

Also consider:

Indiana (WR-J-Shun Harris II, WR-Nick Stoner)

Missouri (RB-Murcus Murphy. Darius White, WR-Jimmie Hunt)


North Carolina at East Carolina

Line:  East Carolina -2 (O/U-65.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  East Carolina 34-32

Best plays:

North Carolina (QB-Marquise Williams, WR-Ryan Switzer)

East Carolina (QB-Shane Carden, WR-Justin Hardy, WR Isaiah Jones)

Also consider:

North Carolina (RB-TJ Logan, RB-Elijah Wood, WR-Quinshad Davis)

East Carolina (RB-Breon Allen, WR-Cam Worthy)


Oregon at Washington State

Line:  Oregon -23.5 (O/U-75)

Projected score based on point spread:  Oregon 49-26

Best plays:

Oregon (QB-Marcus Mariota, RB-Byron Marshall)

Washington State (QB-Connor Halliday, WR-Isiah Myers, WR-Vince Mayle)

Also consider:

Oregon (RB-Thomas Tyner, RB-Royce Freeman, WR-Devon Allen)

Washington State (WR-Dom Williams, WR-River Cracraft)


California at Arizona

Line:  Arizona -9.5 (O/U-70.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Arizona 40-31

Best plays:

California (QB-Jared Goff, K-James Langford))

Arizona (QB-Anu Solomon, RB-Nick Wilson, WR-Cayleb Jones, K-Casey Skowron)

Also consider:

California (WR-Kenny Lawler, WR Darius Powe, WR-Trevor Davis, WR-Chris Harper)

Arizona (WR-Samajie Grant)



One-Sided Matchups (Using the odds to find a dominating ‘D’)

UMass at Penn State

Line:  Penn State -27 (O/U-47)

Projected score based on point spread:  Penn State 37-10

Stay away from:

UMass (WR-Tajae Sharpe)


Troy at Georgia

Line:  Georgia -40 (O/U-69)

Projected score based on point spread:  Georgia 55-10

Stay away from:

Troy (RB-Brandon Burks)


Eastern Michigan at Michigan State

Line:  Michigan State -45.5 (O/U-55)

Projected score based on point spread:  50-5

Stay away from:

Eastern Michigan (RB-Bronson Hill)


Texas A&M at SMU

Line:  Texas A&M -33 (O/U-61)

Projected score based on point spread:  Texas A&M 47-14

Stay away from:

SMU (WR-Darius Joseph)


Louisville at Florida International

Line:  Louisville -27 (O/U-48)

Projected score based on point spread:  Louisville 38-11

Stay away from:

Florida International (RB-Alex Gardner)



Must Watch Games (The games with the biggest headlines)

Auburn at Kansas State

Line:  Auburn -9 (O/U-66)

Projected score based on point spread:  Auburn 38-29

Best fantasy plays:

Auburn (QB-Nick Marshall, RB-Cameron Artis-Payne, D’haquille Williams)

Kansas State (QB-Jake Waters, WR-Tyler Lockett)

theCFFsite projects:  Auburn 34-24


Oklahoma at West Virginia

Line:  Oklahoma -7.5 (O/U-62)

Projected score based on point spread:  Oklahoma 35-27

Best fantasy plays:

Oklahoma (QB-Trevor Knight, RB-Samaje Perine, WR-Sterling Shepard, WR-Durron Neal)

West Virginia (QB-Clint Trickett, RB-Rushel Shell, WR-Kevin White, WR-Mario Alford)

theCFFsite projects:  Oklahoma 34-30


Mississippi State at LSU

Line:  LSU -10 (O/U-50)

Projected score based on point spread:  LSU 30-20

Best fantasy plays:

Mississippi State (QB-Dak Prescott, RB-Josh Robinson, WR-Jameon Lewis, WR-De’Runnya Wilson)

LSU (RB-Kenny Hilliard, RB-Leonard Fournette, WR-Travin Dural)

theCFFsite projects:  Mississippi State 28-27


Clemson at Florida State

Line:  Florida State -20 (O/U-63.5)

Projected score based on point spread:  Florida State 42-22

Best fantasy plays:

Clemson (WR-Artavis Scott, WR-Mik Williams)

Florida State (QB-Jamies Winston, RB-Karlos Williams, WR-Rashad Greene, TE-Nick O’Leary)

theCFFsite projects:  Auburn 34-24


theCFFsite in Must Watch games:

2014 Season:  Straight Up (5-3)  ATS: (5-3)


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